Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 2270.703657 2458.532587 2647.476750 2851.478325 3065.202392 3282.188832 3518.832908
2025-12-07 1958.599009 2240.262058 2533.068438 2858.956919 3210.321672 3576.603277 3986.151321
2025-12-14 1737.934512 2074.915516 2434.179340 2843.163750 3293.355712 3771.456255 4315.244407
2025-12-21 1547.209146 1919.986031 2326.423502 2798.246979 3326.801526 3896.831153 4554.257980
2025-12-28 1487.858871 1902.900949 2363.314261 2905.749989 3521.362625 4192.778655 4974.917195
2026-01-04 1401.767983 1847.012705 2349.345628 2949.615669 3639.287243 4399.388890 5293.031154
2026-01-11 1307.046693 1773.966062 2309.578423 2958.442605 3712.719582 4552.244549 5547.755340
2026-01-18 1222.748427 1707.638268 2272.757772 2966.227391 3781.134562 4696.343137 5790.052099
2026-01-25 1146.875263 1646.786569 2238.378195 2973.230384 3845.557073 4833.443060 6022.428399
2026-02-01 1062.353180 1570.478314 2181.392829 2949.747392 3871.205017 4923.433519 6198.795435
2026-02-08 997.370904 1515.145257 2146.869526 2950.469993 3923.108433 5042.044391 6406.726644
2026-02-15 923.432240 1444.455883 2090.141066 2921.320146 3936.960148 5114.269548 6559.255635
2026-02-22 888.147787 1423.673143 2095.966215 2969.840501 4045.894966 5300.842468 6848.884728
2026-03-01 836.693557 1379.009145 2069.810704 2977.479494 4104.636199 5427.924121 7069.183601
2026-03-08 778.938650 1322.776012 2026.331831 2961.272523 4132.518340 5516.967704 7243.659071
2026-03-15 713.208419 1252.093577 1961.222169 2915.174941 4121.496688 5557.741100 7359.542473
2026-03-22 714.101290 1274.697573 2018.658909 3025.492748 4304.496150 5832.587231 7754.998862
2026-03-29 689.932543 1260.207159 2025.843837 3070.495987 4405.721575 6008.458920 8032.356371
2026-04-05 653.861543 1226.702021 2006.140591 3079.551079 4461.090784 6128.142597 8242.088553
2026-04-12 619.662818 1194.218678 1986.470898 3087.536877 4514.283737 6244.642611 8447.725860
2026-04-19 587.266902 1162.795161 1966.983016 3094.720530 4565.689725 6358.467864 8649.900966
2026-04-26 546.328561 1116.296620 1924.970762 3070.631117 4576.102793 6421.035066 8789.328478
2026-05-03 515.909431 1084.502764 1902.307951 3071.372404 4617.579848 6521.478058 8974.581644